** This workshop was by invitation only **
Location
This workshop was held at the Ahmadieh Family Auditorium, Rm 107, Gross Hall on the campus of Duke University.
Description
Agent-based modeling is widely used across many disciplines to study complex emergent behavior generated from simulated entities that interact with each other and their environment according to relatively simple rules. Applications include automobile traffic modeling, weather forecasting, and the study of epidemics. The inferential challenge of agent-based models is that (in general) there is no tractable likelihood function, and thus it is difficult to fit the model or make quantified statements about the accuracy of predictions. This workshop addressed that challenge from the perspective of uncertainty quantification, so that emulator methodology could be used to make approximate principled inferences about agent-based simulations.
Confirmed speakers for this event include:
- Robert Axtell (George Mason University)
- David Banks (SAMSI Director and Duke University)
- Hongyuan Cao (Florida State University)
- Bobby Gramacy (Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University)
- David Higdon (Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University)
- Mevin Hooten (Colorado State University)
- Leah Johnson (Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University)
- Junxiu Liu (Tufts University)
- Bruce Pitman (University of Buffalo)
- John Schuler (George Mason University)
- Laura Schultz (George Mason University)
- Ralph Smith (N.C. State University)
Schedule and Supporting Media
Printed Schedule
Speaker Titles and Abstracts
Participant List
Monday, March 11, 2019
Room 330, Gross Hall, Duke University
| Description | Speaker | Slides |
|---|---|---|
| Registration | ||
| Welcome | ||
| Statistical Challenges in Agent-Based Modeling | David Banks, SAMSI | |
| Reduced-Scales and Alternative Representations for Large/Full-Scale ABMs | Rob Axtell, George Mason University/Santa Fe Institute | |
| Practical Bayesian Optimization for Agent Based Transportation Simulators | Laura Schultz, George Mason University | |
| Bayesian Model Calibration and Prediction Applied to (Stochastic) Epidemic Simulations | Dave Higdon, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University | |
| Video Conference | Bobby Gramacy, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University | |
| Nonparametric Estimation of General Equilibrium Price Vectors | John Schuler, George Mason University | |
| Informal Panel | Hongyuan Cao, Florida State University | |
| Leah Johnson, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University | ||
| Bruce Pitman, University of Buffalo | ||
| Ralph Smith, N.C. State University |
Tuesday, March 12, 2019
Room 330, Gross Hall, Duke University
| Description | Speaker | Slides |
|---|---|---|
| First-Order Statistical Emulators | Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University | |
| Replication or Exploration? Sequential Design for Stochastic Simulation Experiments | Bobby Gramacy, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University | |
| Cost-Effectiveness of the U.S. Federal Restaurant Menu Calorie Labeling Law for Improving Diet and Health: A Microsimulation Modeling Study | Junxiu Liu, Tufts University | |
| Next Steps Discussion | ||
| Adjourn |
Questions: email [email protected]